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HomeUncategorizedNFL Week 6 picks: Liking seven dogs and seven favourites

NFL Week 6 picks: Liking seven dogs and seven favourites

BEST BETS

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (3-1) at CINCINNATI BENGALS (2-3)

LINE: Cincinnati by 2.5

CHEWABLE: What’s the larger issue: Joe Burrow’s calf or Geno Smith’s ankle? Burrow positive seemed like his previous self in a stellar efficiency towards the Playing cards final week whereas Smith, coming off a bye, might or is probably not totally recovered from the damage suffered the final time he performed — a 24-3 Week 4 victory … If Smith continues to be hobbled, he’ll be recent meat for a go rush led by Trey Hendrickson and Sam Hubbard. The Seahawks can’t strain Burrow the identical method, partly as a result of the Bengals have superior safety … Seattle’s go defence is ranked Thirtieth, which might even be a mismatch towards Burrow and his unbelievable group of receivers,  which is meant to get Tee Higgins again from a ribs damage … If poor climate is the issue a long run forecast instructed, the sting goes to the guests as Kenneth Walker III has been a extra harmful ball provider than Joe Mixon. If rain and wind don’t play a serious position within the end result, and Burrow can keep away from Devon Witherspoon, it’s wiser to lean towards the extra determined Bengals on dwelling turf. Cincinnati was anticipated to be one of many high groups within the AFC and that may nonetheless be the case if “Joe The Throw” can once more hearth the ball with some zip. 

TAKING: CINCINNATI -2.5

SCORE (O/U 44.5): Bengals 30, Seahawks 24

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (5-0) at CLEVELAND BROWNS (2-2)

LINE: San Francisco by 7

CHEWABLE: No query the Niners are the most effective crew within the NFL, a degree that was emphasised with their demolition of Dallas final week, however is it attainable they endure a letdown coming off a 32-point victory over a high NFC rival? Maybe, however whereas Cleveland has the league’s No. 1 rated defence, the Brownsstand no likelihood with out their fearless-leader Deshaun Watson, who was medically cleared two weeks in the past however nonetheless says his shoulder is simply too sore to follow. That may permit P.J. Walker the honour of changing into Nick Bosa’s lunch on Sunday … That top-rated Browns ‘D’ may be with out its greatest participant, as Myles Garrett (foot) has thus far solely watched this week’s exercises … As spectacular as Brock Purdy has been throughout his profession begin as Niners QB (12-0 SU, 10-2 ATS), he has solely performed from behind within the fourth quarter as soon as, for a quick two-minute stretch final yr. So who is aware of if he can orchestrate a two-minute, 80-yard drive to win a NFL recreation? Or if he can win a fourth-quarter shootout? We received’t discover out this week both.

TAKING: SAN FRANCISCO -7

SCORE (O/U 37.5): Niners 21, Browns 10

NEW YORK GIANTS (1-4) at BUFFALO BILLS (3-2)

LINE: Buffalo by 14 

CHEWABLE: Not many groups can say this, however the Giants received’t be worse off this week if, as anticipated, they should play with out their No. 1 quarterback and star left deal with. That’s as a result of veteran backup Tyrod Taylor, who made 43 of his 53 profession begins with the Payments between 2015-2017, has an excellent 73.3 completion share with no interceptions this season (okay, so he has thrown solely 15 passes). And since it’s wanting an increasing number of like RB Saquon Barkley will return from his ankle damage. And since they’re getting used to lacking LT Andrew Thomas, who has been out with a hamstring damage since Week 1. And since with Daniel Jones on the helm, every of the Giants’ 4 losses have been by at the least 15 factors, which is why they’ve a league worst -91 level differential by way of simply 5 weeks. So that you see, there’s actually no place to go however up … Whereas the Jaguars might have some lingering results from the time change after a two-week keep in London, the Payments ought to be shaking comparable points off faster after shedding to Jacksonville regardless of having Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis each reaching triple digits in receiving yardage … After ending with simply 29 dashing yards towards the Jaguars, James Cook dinner, Damien Harris and Latavius Murray in addition to Josh Allen himself ought to be capable to glide throughout vital quantities of actual estates versus the Giants Thirtieth-ranked run defence … This one may have additional that means for Giants head coach (and Welland, Ont., product) Brian Daboll as he faces the Payments, with whom he was the offensive coordinator between 2018-2021, and his gamers ought to be doing what they’ll to ensure he’s at the least not embarrassed within the homecoming. With such a poor defence, nevertheless, it’s unlikely they’ll be capable to forestall it.

TAKING: BUFFALO -14

SCORE (O/U 44.5): Payments 38, Giants 14

THE REST

BALTIMORE RAVENS (3-2) vs. TENNESSEE TITANS (2-3) 

(Recreation to be performed in London)

LINE: Baltimore by 4

CHEWABLE: Baltimore imploded towards the Steelers in Week 5. It wasn’t simply the three turnovers (together with a Lamar Jackson choose thrown from the Pittsburgh five-yard line) or the blocked punt, but in addition seven dropped passes, most in any recreation by any crew this season … The underachieving Titans fell to Gardner Minshew and the Colts final week in a continuation of their win-one-lose-one begin to the season … Mike Vrabel’s groups know how one can defend towards cellular quarterbacks, so Jackson received’t be as a lot of an element along with his toes as he ought to be along with his arm towards the Titans’ weak secondary … One of the best receiver within the recreation is Tennessee’s DeAndre Hopkins, who’s coming off his first triple-figure yardage day as a Titan. If Derrick Henry can have an efficient outing — which isn’t any positive factor as he has had an inconsistent begin to his eighth season — he’ll purchase a while for Ryan Tannehill to construct off final week’s connection along with his new favorite toy …  Baltimore wins however Vrabel, who’s 24-10 as an underdog of 3-plus factors, has his crew protecting.

TAKING: TENNESSEE +4

SCORE (O/U 41.5): Ravens 24, Titans 21

WASHINGTON COMMANDERS (2-3) at ATLANTA FALCONS (3-2)

LINE: Atlanta by 2.5

CHEWABLE: The Falcons defence, surprisingly, has carried out at an elite stage, Kyle Pitts lastly seems to be getting untracked and there’s no questioning Atlanta’s operating recreation. All they want now’s constant play from quarterback Desmond Ridder and the NFC South might be the Soiled Birds’ for the taking … Final week the Texans had been so intent on stopping Bijan Robinson that it opened issues up for Ridder to have the primary 300-plus yard passing recreation. Ridder may duplicate that efficiency towards a Commanders secondary that was shredded by Justin Fields final week … After  the Bears ended their 14-game shedding streak by defeating Washington, it’s arduous to place any religion in Washington because it now takes to the street to face a stiffer problem. 

TAKING: ATLANTA -2.5

SCORE (O/U 43.5): Falcons 23, Commanders 17

MINNESOTA VIKINGS (1-4) at CHICAGO BEARS (1-4) 

LINE: Minnesota by 2.5

CHEWABLE: The Vikings had the second-best aerial assault within the league earlier than shedding Justin Jefferson to a hamstring damage that may hold him shelved for the higher a part of a month. They nonetheless have succesful receivers who ought to be efficient towards the Thirty first-ranked go defence of the Bears, which is now lacking three starters from the secondary … Bears have their very own Jefferson in D.J. Moore, who confirmed all people what all of the fuss was about in his acquisition towards Washington final Thursday … The distinction, with wind anticipated to be an element, would be the operating video games, and the Bears are in higher form alongside the bottom even with D’Onta Foreman coming in as substitute for the injured Khalil Herbert … The Vikings have received the final 4 conferences between the groups, however you get the sensation (okay, I do) that streak is about to finish in an offensive battle between two groups making an attempt to remain out of the NFL North basement.

TAKING: CHICAGO +2.5

SCORE (O/U 44.5): Bears 31, Vikings 28

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (3-2) at HOUSTON TEXANS (2-3) 

LINE: New Orleans by 1.5

CHEWABLE: Whereas C.J. Stroud has been the NFL’s greatest rookie QB to this point, he now faces a Prime 5 defence coming off a 34-0 shutdown of the Patriots. In shedding 21-19 to the Falcons final week, the Texans quieted Atlanta’s vaunted operating assault however in doing so opened as much as permit Desmond Ridder his first 300-plus yard passing day. Now Houston has to cope with a extra established QB in Derek Carr, whose shoulder damage truly wasn’t a difficulty towards New England, and Alvin Kamara, who seems to be to be the large running-receiving menace he was a few years in the past. 

TAKING: NEW ORLEANS -1.5

SCORE (O/U 42.5): Saints 17, Texans 14

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (3-2) at JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (3-2)

LINE: Jacksonville by 4

CHEWABLE: In opposition to a strong Payments defence the Jaguars had 29 first downs — which is 11 off the all-time report set by the 2013 Saints however nonetheless quite a lot of first downs — whereas Travis Etienne and Calvin Ridley mixed for 258 yards themselves. What are they able to towards a Colts defence that has surrendered extra yards than all however 4 groups? … Offensively, Indy has a powerful operating recreation with Zack Moss, who had an infinite day final week towards the Titans, and Jonathan Taylor, who ought to be getting extra work within the second recreation of his return … Colts lose scrambling/operating skill with the damage to rookie QB Anthony Richardson, however Gardner Minshew is without doubt one of the greatest backups within the league and at this stage has a extra correct arm than Richardson … Jacksonville has received three of the final 4 conferences and that development will proceed on this battle for high spot within the AFC South. If you happen to’re tempted to take the factors, know that the groups haven’t performed a recreation determined by lower than 4 in 10 conferences, and that features a 31-21 Jags victory in Indy in Week 1 … A wager on Jacksonville means a wager the Jags is not going to be struggling any time change points after spending two weeks in London. I’m simply not ready to do this. 

TAKING: INDIANAPOLIS +4

SCORE (O/U 44.5): Jaguars 30, Colts 27

CAROLINA PANTHERS (0-5) at MIAMI DOLPHINS (4-1)

LINE: Miami by 13.5

CHEWABLE: Nobody trying to earn money would wager towards the Dolphins, who’ve the NFL’s quickest and greatest offence, towards a battered Panthers defence and an offence led by a rookie QB who thus far seems to be like he’s in over his head. Matchup-wise, Miami ought to dominate by way of the air and alongside the bottom, and even when they throw some picks and fumble the ball. Up to now this season, 18 instances a crew has been minus-3 or worse in turnovers, and final week the Dolphins grew to become the one one to nonetheless win the sport, crushing the Giants by 15 … A statistical development to contemplate: Winless groups coming into Week 6 are 43-28 ATS courting again to 1989. That, and the very fact the Dolphins have the Twenty third-ranked defence, had me fascinated by backing the Panthers for a second. However just one.

TAKING: MIAMI -13.5

SCORE (O/U 47.5): Dolphins 34, Panthers 17

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (1-4) at LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (2-3)

LINE: Las Vegas by 3

CHEWABLE: How are you going to like a Patriots crew that was shut out final recreation, outscored 72-3 in its final two and has the second-worst factors differential (-76) within the NFL? Few causes. The offence was silenced by the Cowboys and Saints, two of the most effective defences within the league, however together with beating the Jets, the Patriots have suffered a few one-score losses to a few sturdy opponents in Philadelphia and Miami. Additionally, the Patriots have had another day of preparation that the Raiders, who performed Monday night time, which implies Invoice Belichick has had additional time to prepare for 2 offensive opponents he has labored with and is aware of effectively: Josh McDaniels and Jimmy Garoppolo. They need to be capable to benefit from a depleted New England defence, however Belichick will outsmart them. 

TAKING: NEW ENGLAND +3

SCORE (O/U 41.5): Patriots 23, Raiders 21

DETROIT LIONS (4-1) at TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (3-1)

LINE: Detroit by 3

CHEWABLE: Don’t look now however the Lions have turn out to be top-of-the-line groups within the NFL. They’ve received 12 of their final 15 video games courting again to final season and they’re coming off a 42-24 victory over the Panthers regardless of lacking two key offensive gamers in Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jahmyr Gibbs. They rank sixth in each complete offensive yards for and complete offensive yards towards. However they’re lacking a number of members of their secondary and Baker Mayfield is off to a flying begin as a Buccaneer. If he will get time towards a great Lions go rush, he’ll proceed to develop chemistry with Chris Godwin and Mike Evans — assuming the latter can play by way of a hamstring drawback that has saved him from practising the final two days.

TAKING: TAMPA BAY +3

SCORE (O/U 42.5): Lions 26, Bucs 24

ARIZONA CARDINALS (1-4) at LOS ANGELES RAMS (2-3)

LINE: L.A. Rams by 7

CHEWABLE: It’s beginning to appear like the worst factor that might have occurred to the Cardinals was their stunning 28-16 victory over the Cowboys in Week 3. The 2 video games earlier than it they misplaced by a complete of seven factors, whereas the 2 after it they’ve been overwhelmed by a mixed 33 factors. Granted, the primary two losses had been to the Commanders and Giants, whereas the final two had been to the Niners and Bengals, however they simply don’t appear like they’re going to be the shock crew of 2023 any extra … The Rams might be a little bit deflated after a 23-14 loss to the Eagles final week. If they’ll refocus, they win this divisional matchup with Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua having their method towards a suspect secondary and a total go defence that ranks twenty fifth. Even minus James Conner, count on that the Playing cards offence, directed by Joshua Dobbs, will cowl by way of the again door.

TAKING: ARIZONA +7

SCORE (O/U 48.5): Rams 28, Cardinals 23

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (5-0) at NEW YORK JETS (2-3)

LINE: Philadelphia by 7

CHEWABLE: The Jets defence ought to have some success towards the Eagles offence, even now that Jalen Hurts is lastly operating the ball once more. However how on the planet is Zach Wilson going to benefit from an Eagles defence that has allowed extra passing TDs than each crew besides the Bears and Broncos when he doesn’t have time to throw? Not less than that’s the idea as New York goes ahead with out OG Alijah Vera-Tucker, a great blocker who suffered a season-ending damage final week, towards a powerful Eagles go rush? Higher wager is a harried Wilson, who has thrown just one choose in his final three video games, goes again to his giveaway days … The Jets have by no means, ever, overwhelmed the Eagles, shedding all 12 conferences, and whereas there’s a primary for the whole lot, this received’t be one for that.

TAKING: PHILADELPHIA -7

SCORE (O/U 41.0): Eagles 24, Jets 10

DALLAS COWBOYS (3-2) at LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (2-2)

LINE: Dallas by 2.5

CHEWABLE:Just one crew within the NFL (Broncos) has allowed opponents to maneuver the ball with as a lot ease because the Chargers, which doesn’t make a lick of sense given the proficient personnel they’ve on defence. In fact, gamers reminiscent of Derwin James Jr. and Joey Bosa have been sidelined, too, and this week they’ve returned to practiced as Los Angeles comes off a bye to face a Dallas crew that was totally embarrassed in a 42-10 loss to the Niners. (So, Dak Prescott, that’s what occurs when a reporter makes you “mad” with questions on final yr’s playoff loss to San Fran, eh?) … Additionally coming off the damage checklist to assist the Chargers is Austin Ekeler, who had 167 yards from scrimmage within the season opener earlier than taking place with an ankle damage … Justin Herbert has a finger fractured on his non-throwing hand, an damage that occurred when he was stepped on through the Chargers pre-bye win over the Raiders. Herbert wasn’t the identical when he returned to the sport, however the bye week ought to have helped … What we all know concerning the Cowboys this season, together with the very fact they’ve a sometimes-strong defence, is that they’ve overwhelmed up on the weaklings (Giants, Jets, Patriots) whereas probably not coming near the Playing cards and getting completely outplayed by the Niners. Now they go to the Chargers, whose offensive coordinator Kellen Moore was the Dallas O.C. final yr and therefore is aware of the Cowboys defence effectively. Oh sure, and Dak might be additionally mad about final week’s recreation too. 

TAKING: L.A. CHARGERS +2.5

SCORE (O/U 50.5): Chargers 24, Cowboys 23

NFL Week 6 picks

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